http://www.freebuck.com/articles/jrusso/070818jrusso.htmRefueling Psychotic-Optimism By Joseph Russo
ElliottWaveTechnology.com
8/18/2007
Until
September, this shall be our last market-update prior to our return from hiatus
after the Labor Day holiday
. Fed Saves Markets From Near-Meltdown:In light of the Feds
clandestine shattering of the discount window in the wee-hours of Friday
morning, we really do not have much to add to last weeks rant about
Ponzi-Regimescoming to the rescue of grossly mismanaged markets.
Down how much? – And
already requiring immediate emergency rescue measures?Last Thursday, stock markets
were off their historic highs by around 10%, and most major metropolitan
housing-markets are down anywhere from 5% - 10% at best. Certain regions like Manhattan, have
experience little if any downward adjustment to their mega-bloated values -
some 200% - 300% above their former 1998 values.
Nonetheless, such
minor disturbances amid a perpetual debt-based prosperity-paradigm require
immediate intervention by central banking cartels – with endless assistance to
follow as needed.
Why Not Intervene When
Markets are rising in Parabolic Buying-Panics? There seems to be no
cause for concern when various housing markets ballooned over 200% in the
course of 6-short years – or when equity markets rise in extended parabolic
fashion.
As far as housing is
concerned, such rapid appreciation of monolithic proportions are one-off
historic anomalies requiring serious downward adjustment however, most everyone
would ignorantly wish to return to such a mirage, and forever embrace such
folly as the “norm.”
Making Waves:In our view, the only
positive effects of such meddling are the unmistakable footprints of Elliott
Waves - which remain clearly marked in the wake of price action – regardless of
intervention.
The Week in Review: The NDX:The NDX relinquished last
week’s trendline big-time. Though
violated substantially, long-term trends remain up.
The rebound off the
weekly low, attributable in large part to the Fed’s continued interventions,
left the index down 1.89% on the week.
We suspect strategic
short-sellers would beg, borrow, and steal to gain equal favor of such
omnipotent forces in incessantly working toward their fundamental causes.
However flawed, traders
must be cognizant of this inherent bullish prejudice, and adapt accordingly.
Below is a common example of our approach in
adapting to such flaws: The chart below
documents last weeks short-term trade-triggers and price-targets captured from
Elliott Wave Technology’s
Near Term Outlook.